Ratification landed on 21 September and the agreement commences on 20 October. In the markets I cover it has already become a conversation about rates. The real issue here is not the rate. A new agreement is a new origin file, and this one is narrower than most teams keep.
First, the cumulation is bilateral and nothing else. Only materials originating in the two parties count as originating. The rest of the bill of materials is non-originating, to be absorbed either by whatever the product specific rule permits or by a tolerance that one practitioner note puts at 10 percent of FOB value. I have not read the annex myself, so treat that figure as borrowed.
Second, India sits outside RCEP and New Zealand sits inside it. A file built on cumulation across fifteen economies does not travel to this one. Same plant, same recipe, different answer, which is what an origin SOP should have anticipated years ago: one file per agreement, never one per product.
My reading, not a finding: this gets under claimed in its first quarter. What would change my mind is an annex built on tariff shift rather than value, because then third country content never needs counting.
Has anyone put a real bill of materials through it yet?